Texans vs. Buccaneers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 5

Published Nov. 1, 2023 1:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Houston Texans (3-4) are slim favorites (-2.5) over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4). The Buccaneers have dropped three games straight. The total for this one is set at 40 points.

Texans vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs Buccaneers Betting Information updated as of October 30, 2023, 10:33 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Texans	-2.5	-115	-105	40	-110	-110

Texans vs. Buccaneers Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Houston (-2.5)
Pick OU: Under (40)
Prediction: Houston 22 - Tampa Bay 15

How to Watch Houston vs. Tampa Bay

Game Date: Sunday, November 5, 2023
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: NRG Stadium
Location: Houston, Texas
TV: Watch on CBS

Texans vs. Buccaneers Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head meetings, Houston has beaten Tampa Bay four times.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Houston has scored 110 points, while Tampa Bay has accumulated 68.

Houston Betting Info

In seven Houston games this year, it has four wins against the spread.
The Texans have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
Houston games this year have hit the over on two of seven set point totals (28.6%).
The Texans have been moneyline favorites one other time this season, a game they lost.
Houston has played as a moneyline favorite of -148 or shorter in only one game this season, which it lost.
The Texans have a 59.7% chance to win this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	238.6 (1,670)	11
Rush yards	91.9 (643)	23
Points scored	21.1 (148)	21
Pass yards against	236.1 (1,653)	23
Rush yards against	99.3 (695)	11
Points allowed	18.3 (128)	6

Houston's Key Players

Offense

C.J. Stroud has thrown for 1,800 yards, nine touchdowns and one interception this year. He is averaging 257.1 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt, while completing 60.3% of his attempts.
He has also rushed for 68 yards (third on the Texans) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 9.7 rushing yards per game.
Nico Collins has 33 receptions for 577 yards and three TDs. Through seven games, he is averaging 4.7 catches and 82.4 yards per game.
In the passing game, Nathaniel Dell, has totaled 340 receiving yards and two touchdowns after hauling in 22 balls on 32 targets. Per game, he's averaging 56.7 yards and 3.7 receptions through six games.
Dameon Pierce has rushed for 327 yards with one touchdown (46.7 yards per game through seven games).
He has added nine catches (on 12 targets) for 84 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 12.0 receiving yards and 1.3 receptions per game.

Defense

On the defensive side for the Texans, Jonathan Greenard has powered the unit with 28 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and six sacks in 2023.
Blake Cashman has picked off one pass and added 36 tackles, 6.0 TFL, one sack, and four passes defended.
Henry To'o To'o has collected 48 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
Steven Nelson has three interceptions (third in the NFL) while tacking on 26 tackles and five passes defended.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

Tampa Bay have compiled a 4-3-0 record against the spread this year.
So far this season, the Buccaneers have been installed as underdogs by a 2.5-point margin or more five times and are 3-2 ATS in those contests.
Games involving Tampa Bay has hit the over once this year.
The Buccaneers have been underdogs in five games this season and won two (40%) of those contests.
This season, Tampa Bay has won two of its five games when it is the underdog by at least +124 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 44.6% chance of a victory for the Buccaneers.

Buccaneers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	220.4 (1,543)	17
Rush yards	77.9 (545)	30
Points scored	17.3 (121)	29
Pass yards against	256.0 (1,792)	28
Rush yards against	98.6 (690)	10
Points allowed	18.3 (128)	6

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

In seven games played this year, Baker Mayfield has amassed 1,600 passing yards, while throwing 10 touchdowns against four interceptions and completing 64.2% of his passes.
Mayfield has also rushed for 118 yards (second on the Buccaneers).
Mike Evans has put together a 2023 campaign that includes 33 catches for 507 yards and five receiving touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) through seven games played. He has been on the receiving end of 55 targets and is averaging 4.7 receptions per game.
Rachaad White has rushed for one touchdown this year, and has totaled 305 rushing yards (43.6 per game and 3.3 per attempt).
White has helped out in the receiving game, putting up 233 receiving yards (33.3 per game) on 29 catches (4.1 per game), while being targeted 30 times. He is looking for his first receiving touchdown.
Chris Godwin has been targeted 56 times, resulting in 38 catches for 452 yards .

Defense

Lavonte David's 2023 effort includes 67 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and two sacks in seven games. He leads the Buccaneers in tackles.
Antoine Winfield Jr. has 2.0 sacks (third on the Buccaneers) to go with 2.0 TFL and 46 tackles.
Ryan Neal has 2.0 TFL and 55 tackles in the 2023 campaign.
Devin White's season stats include 47 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception through seven games. He is third on the Buccaneers in tackles.