Talking points as WCup qualifying in Europe reaches climax

Updated Nov. 10, 2021 12:07 a.m. ET

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European nations play their last group games in qualifying for the 2022 World Cup over the next week, with some of the continent's biggest teams still not assured of going to the tournament in Qatar.

Only Germany and Denmark have claimed places in Europe's 13-team quota in the 32-nation World Cup lineup before the qualifiers resume Thursday. Eight more will be known by Tuesday.

A look at what to watch out for:

SUPER SUNDAY

Sunday’s match list is a rebuttal to those who say qualification has too little drama or jeopardy.

Three groups are set to be decided when the top two teams meet in a last-game showdown. Winners will go to Qatar and losers head for the playoffs in March, needing to get past two more opponents to qualify.

The action Sunday starts at 14:00 GMT with a rematch from the 2018 World Cup quarterfinals: Croatia hosts Russia in Split.

Russia has a two-point lead in the group going into Thursday’s games when it hosts Cyprus and Croatia visits Malta.

At 19:45 GMT, 2010 World Cup winner Spain and 2016 European champion Portugal are in action.

Portugal, with Cristiano Ronaldo trying to qualify for his fifth World Cup and extend his men's national-team world record goals tally, hosts current group leader Serbia. Portugal trails by one point but first plays at Ireland on Thursday.

Portugal has the edge on goal difference, so two draws will be enough to advance. Serbia has one game left and will certainly go through by winning in Lisbon.

Spain hosts Sweden, now with 40-year-old Zlatan Ibrahimovic back, in the Sevilla stadium where the teams drew 0-0 in June at Euro 2020.

Ahead of the showdown, Sweden has a two-point lead before playing at Georgia on Thursday, when Spain is at Greece.

Exactly four years ago, Sweden ousted Italy in the playoffs to qualify for the 2018 World Cup.

Italy has its own showdown game Friday against Switzerland in Rome. They are tied on points, with Italy still to visit Northern Ireland on Monday, when the Swiss host Bulgaria.

ALMOST THERE

Reigning world champion France, top-ranked Belgium and Euro 2020 runner-up England will likely avoid any last-round drama.

The French can secure top spot in their group by beating last-place Kazakhstan in Paris on Saturday. They'll have a second chance to qualify, if needed, in a match at Finland on Tuesday.

Belgium holds a five-point lead ahead of games against Estonia and Wales. For England, beating Albania at Wembley Stadium on Friday will virtually guarantee a place at the World Cup. The English are three points clear of Poland, with a superior goal difference, and finish their group-stage campaign at San Marino, which is last in the 210-team FIFA world rankings.

RUNNERS-UP

Group runners-up in the final standings will go to the March playoffs. Poland and Scotland seem sure to be among them.

The 10 will be joined by two teams that place third or lower, yet won a Nations League group last year. That is likely to be Austria plus either the Czech Republic or Wales.

Those 12 playoffs teams go into brackets of four, playing single-leg semifinals and a final to decide Europe’s final three World Cup entries.

The format should mean there's something riding on every game this next week, even for teams that secure their playoffs place before completing the group stage.

The six runners-up with the best records will be seeded with a home game in the playoff semifinals.

There are degrees of difficulty. The sixth-best runner-up could be drawn at home to Romania while the seventh-best could get a trip to Spain.

ALREADY QUALIFIED

Germany and Denmark have qualified with two games to spare and might use their last group matches to experiment with new players or systems.

The Danes still have plenty of motivation — they have won eight straight without conceding a goal and can qualify with a perfect record by beating the Faroe Islands at home Friday and Scotland away on Monday.

Germany has won seven of eight and concludes at home to Liechtenstein on Thursday and away to Armenia on Sunday.

DRAW DETAILS

Two key dates are in the diary.

On Nov. 26 at FIFA headquarters in Zurich, the European playoffs will be drawn.

Within days of those playoffs finishing March 29, the World Cup finals tournament draw will be made in Doha.

FIFA aims to stage the draw on April 1 even though just 30 of the 32 entries should be known. The final two tickets will be earned in June at intercontinental playoffs that do not involve Europe or Africa.

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