College Football

Army vs. Navy: Prediction, odds, picks

Updated Dec. 6, 2023 4:10 p.m. ET

Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts is the setting for the Army Black Knights' (5-6) matchup against the Navy Midshipmen (5-6) on December 9, 2023, starting at 3:00 PM ET, airing on CBS. The Black Knights are a 3-point favorite in the matchup. This matchup has an over/under of 27.5 points.

The Black Knights beat the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, 28-21, in their most recent contest. The Midshipmen lost to the SMU Mustangs, 59-14, in their most recent game.

Here's everything you need to know about the matchup between Navy and Army — the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and an expert pick from Will Hill.

Cowboys vs. Eagles is a 'must-win' for Dak's Cowboys | The Carton Show

Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones is confident his team can defeat the other two NFC juggernauts, the San Francisco 49ers and the Philadelphia Eagles. While Craig Carton agrees Dak Prescott is playing great football, he wonders if their schedule has the Cowboys feeling more confident than they should. He’s joined by Willie Colon and David Jacoby to preview the big matchup between the Cowboys and the Eagles.

Army vs. Navy Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, December 9, 2023 at 3:00 PM ET
Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts
TV: CBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Army vs Navy Betting Information updated as of December 6, 2023, 2:45 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Army	-3 (-104)	-147	+123	27.5	-111	-109

Army vs. Navy Prediction

Pick ATS: Army (-3)
Pick OU: Over (27.5)
Prediction: Army 23, Navy 20

Pick via FOX Sports Betting Analyst Will Hill

This is another case where timing of the bet is key. If you do like the Over, wait.

This game is notorious for staying Under, much like the Hall of Fame Game in the NFL, and that depresses the price of the total.

People will hear the trend all week that this game typically goes Under, and bet accordingly. Here’s the thing about this game usually staying Under — this total used to be in the high 40’s, then low 40s, then eventually 30s. Now we’re at 27.5!

I think it continues to drop.

Keep in mind, three out of the last four matchups have seen 30+ points scored, so while this total should be low, I think it’s too low.

Wait, and maybe you’ll even get 26.5, which is a key number considering a 17-10 game would then put you over — but I’m being a little different here and going over.

PICK: Over 27.5 points scored by both teams combined

Army vs. Navy Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Black Knights 15, Midshipmen 12.
The Black Knights have a 59.5% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Midshipmen hold a 44.8% implied probability.
Army has compiled a 3-6-1 record against the spread this season.
Navy has covered four times in 10 matchups with a spread this season.

Army vs. Navy: Head-to-Head

In their past two matchups, Navy holds a split 1-1 record against Army.
The Black Knights and the Midshipmen have been an even matchup over their last two games, sporting a split 1-1 record against the spread. In those two games, the two teams have gone over the total on one occasion.
Army has been outscored by 1 point in its last two tilts versus Navy.

Army vs. Navy: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Army	Navy
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	20.8 (120)	18.3 (130)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22.0 (23)	22.9 (28)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	22 (120)	11 (12)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	17 (58)	24 (8)

Army 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Bryson Daily	QB	859 YDS (50.0%) / 6 TD / 6 INT 821 RUSH YDS / 7 RUSH TD / 74.6 RUSH YPG
Kanye Udoh	RB	436 YDS / 1 TD / 39.6 YPG / 5.1 YPC
Isaiah Alston	WR	9 REC / 266 YDS / 2 TD / 24.2 YPG
Noah Short	WR	18 REC / 252 YDS / 2 TD / 22.9 YPG
Leo Lowin	LB	72 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
Quindrelin Hammonds	DB	51 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 3 INT
Jimmy Ciarlo	OLB	42 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Kalib Fortner	LB	52 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK

Navy 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Alex Tecza	FB	52 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Eli Heidenreich	RB	214 YDS / 1 TD / 19.5 YPG / 7.9 YPC 15 REC / 326 REC YDS / 4 REC TD / 29.6 REC YPG
Tai Lavatai	QB	522 YDS (53.3%) / 4 TD / 2 INT 171 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 15.5 RUSH YPG
Xavier Arline	QB	320 YDS (54.8%) / 2 TD / 1 INT 251 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 22.8 RUSH YPG
Colin Ramos	LB	92 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Rayuan Lane	FS	58 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 4 INT
Luke Pirris	LB	47 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Will Harbour	LB	70 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK