College Football

Wake Forest at NC State: Prediction, Odds, Expert Pick

Published Oct. 4, 2024 3:36 p.m. ET

The NC State Wolfpack (3-2) are 4-point favorites when they host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (1-3) in conference action on Saturday, October 5, 2024 at Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium. A 52.5-point over/under is set for the contest.

The Wolfpack won against the Northern Illinois Huskies in their most recent game, 24-17. The Demon Deacons' most recent game was versus the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns, and they lost by a score of 41-38.

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NC State vs. Wake Forest Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 12:00 p.m. ET
Location: Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina
TV: The CW
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

More College Football Predictions

NC State vs Wake Forest Betting Information updated as of October 4, 2024, 1:46 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
NC State	-4 (-109)	-187	+153	52.5	-110	-110

NC State vs. Wake Forest Prediction

Pick ATS: NC State (-4)
Pick OU: Over (52.5)
Prediction: NC State 33, Wake Forest 28

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the NC State Wolfpack vs. the Wake Forest Demon Deacons game on FOX Sports!

Pick by FOX Sports Betting Analyst Chris Fallica:

NC State got the win against NIU last week but had just 171 yards, were plus-4 in turnovers and got a non-offensive touchdown. Wake is 1-3, but two of its losses were decided by a combined four points against similarly talented teams in Virginia and UL Lafayette. You could hold out in hopes of a six here as well, as I think you might see one.

PICK: Wake Forest (+5.5) to lose by fewer than 5.5 points, or win outright

NC State vs. Wake Forest Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Wolfpack 28, Demon Deacons 24.
The Wolfpack have a 65.2% chance to win this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Demon Deacons hold a 39.5% implied probability.
NC State has not won against the spread this season in four chances.
Wake Forest is winless against the spread this season (0-3-1).

NC State vs. Wake Forest: Head-to-Head

In their past two head-to-head bouts, NC State has taken down Wake Forest two times.
The Wolfpack own a 2-0 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have yet to go over the total.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, NC State has scored 56 points versus Wake Forest, while surrendering only 27 points.

NC State vs. Wake Forest: 2024 Stats Comparison

	NC State	Wake Forest
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	27.4 (66)	29.8 (86)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	33.6 (125)	31.3 (93)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	8 (97)	4 (32)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	9 (16)	4 (95)

NC State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kevin Concepcion	WR	31 REC / 243 YDS / 4 TD / 48.6 YPG
Jordan Waters	RB	213 YDS / 2 TD / 42.6 YPG / 4.1 YPC 6 REC / 62 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 12.4 REC YPG
CJ Bailey	QB	468 YDS (64.6%) / 2 TD / 2 INT 43 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 8.6 RUSH YPG
Kendrick Raphael	RB	207 YDS / 2 TD / 41.4 YPG / 6.3 YPC
Caden Fordham	LB	41 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Donovan Kaufman	DB	27 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Sean Brown	LB	35 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Davin Vann	DL	17 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK

Wake Forest 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Hank Bachmeier	QB	1,159 YDS (66.7%) / 5 TD / 1 INT 75 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 18.8 RUSH YPG
Demond Claiborne	RB	335 YDS / 4 TD / 83.8 YPG / 5.5 YPC 7 REC / 63 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15.8 REC YPG
Tate Carney	RB	146 YDS / 4 TD / 36.5 YPG / 3.8 YPC 5 REC / 44 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11 REC YPG
Donavon Greene	WR	16 REC / 271 YDS / 2 TD / 67.8 YPG
Nick Andersen	DB	34 TKL / 0 TFL
Jamare Glasker	DB	19 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Kevin Pointer	DL	11 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Dylan Hazen	LB	20 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD