Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12
The Milwaukee Brewers and Willy Adames ready for the second of a four-game series against Bryan De La Cruz and the Miami Marlins on Tuesday at American Family Field. The Brewers are -167 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Marlins (+141). Milwaukee is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup is set at 8 runs.
The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Milwaukee Brewers looking to Freddy Peralta (11-8), and JT Chargois (2-0) getting the nod for the Miami Marlins.
Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Brewers vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds
- When: Tuesday, September 12, 2023 at 7:40 PM ET
- Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- How to Watch on TV: BSWI
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brewers | -167 | +141 | 8 | -113 | -106 | -1.5 | +124 | -146 |
Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Marlins 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Brewers 56%, Marlins 44%
Brewers vs. Marlins Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won 42, or 59.2%, of the 71 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Milwaukee has a record of 11-13, a 45.8% win rate, when favored by -167 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The Brewers have a 62.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 76 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (43.4%) in those games.
- This season, Miami has been victorious 10 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +141 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 41.5% chance of walking away with the win.
Brewers Recent Betting Performance
- The Brewers went 2-2 over the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Brewers combined with their opponents to go over the run total seven times.
- The Brewers' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.
Brewers Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
HR | 8 |
ERA | 2.86 |
K/9 | 9.9 |
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Brewers Player Insights
- Christian Yelich is batting .274 with 31 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 71 walks.
- Yelich's home runs rank him 104th in MLB, and he is 59th in RBI.
- Yelich takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .133 with a double, four walks and an RBI.
- Carlos Santana is hitting .233 with 29 doubles, 19 home runs and 59 walks.
- Of all MLB batters, Santana is 83rd in home runs and 51st in RBI.
- William Contreras leads the Brewers with a team-best batting average of .283.
- Contreras is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .348 with three walks and three RBI.
- Adames' 24 home runs and 76 RBI both lead his team.
Brewers Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
William Contreras | 0.5 (-189) | 0.5 (-189) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+215) |
Tyrone Taylor | 0.5 (-115) | 0.5 (-115) | 0.5 (+750) | 0.5 (+250) |
Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+285) |
Willy Adames | 0.5 (-130) | 0.5 (-130) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+195) |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+260) |
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Marlins Recent Betting Performance
- In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 4-3.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 8-2-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Marlins are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Marlins Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 7-3 |
Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
HR | 17 |
ERA | 5.10 |
K/9 | 8.3 |
Marlins Player Insights
- Luis Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .349.
- Arraez's home run total places him 279th in the majors, and he is 92nd in RBI.
- De La Cruz has driven in the most runs for the Marlins with 74 runs batted in.
- De La Cruz is 83rd overall in home runs and 47th in RBI this season.
- Josh Bell is hitting .244 with 24 doubles, 20 home runs and 57 walks.
- Jake Burger is batting .240 with 24 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 28 walks.
Marlins Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jesús Sánchez | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (+750) | 0.5 (+285) |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 (-130) | 0.5 (-130) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+255) |
Jacob Stallings | 0.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+1200) | 0.5 (+370) |
Joey Wendle | 0.5 (-154) | 0.5 (-154) | 0.5 (+1200) | 0.5 (+260) |
Josh Bell | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+240) |
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