Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Published Sep. 12, 2023 6:59 p.m. ET

The Milwaukee Brewers and Willy Adames ready for the second of a four-game series against Bryan De La Cruz and the Miami Marlins on Tuesday at American Family Field. The Brewers are -167 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Marlins (+141). Milwaukee is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup is set at 8 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Milwaukee Brewers looking to Freddy Peralta (11-8), and JT Chargois (2-0) getting the nod for the Miami Marlins.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Brewers vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, September 12, 2023 at 7:40 PM ET
  • Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • How to Watch on TV: BSWI
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers -167 +141 8 -113 -106 -1.5 +124 -146

Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Brewers 56%, Marlins 44%

Brewers vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have won 42, or 59.2%, of the 71 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 11-13, a 45.8% win rate, when favored by -167 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Brewers have a 62.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 76 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (43.4%) in those games.
  • This season, Miami has been victorious 10 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +141 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 41.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers went 2-2 over the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Brewers combined with their opponents to go over the run total seven times.
  • The Brewers' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 8
ERA 2.86
K/9 9.9

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Brewers Player Insights

  • Christian Yelich is batting .274 with 31 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 71 walks.
  • Yelich's home runs rank him 104th in MLB, and he is 59th in RBI.
  • Yelich takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .133 with a double, four walks and an RBI.
  • Carlos Santana is hitting .233 with 29 doubles, 19 home runs and 59 walks.
  • Of all MLB batters, Santana is 83rd in home runs and 51st in RBI.
  • William Contreras leads the Brewers with a team-best batting average of .283.
  • Contreras is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .348 with three walks and three RBI.
  • Adames' 24 home runs and 76 RBI both lead his team.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
William Contreras 0.5 (-189) 0.5 (-189) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+215)
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+250)
Rowdy Tellez 0.5 (+110) 0.5 (+110) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+285)
Willy Adames 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+195)
Christian Yelich 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+260)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 4-3.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 8-2-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Marlins are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 17
ERA 5.10
K/9 8.3

Marlins Player Insights

  • Luis Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .349.
  • Arraez's home run total places him 279th in the majors, and he is 92nd in RBI.
  • De La Cruz has driven in the most runs for the Marlins with 74 runs batted in.
  • De La Cruz is 83rd overall in home runs and 47th in RBI this season.
  • Josh Bell is hitting .244 with 24 doubles, 20 home runs and 57 walks.
  • Jake Burger is batting .240 with 24 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 28 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jesús Sánchez 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+285)
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+255)
Jacob Stallings 0.5 (+115) 0.5 (+115) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+370)
Joey Wendle 0.5 (-154) 0.5 (-154) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+260)
Josh Bell 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+240)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Brewers vs Marlins!

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