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Toronto Blue Jays v Baltimore Orioles - Game One
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Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 9

Updated Sep. 9, 2023 2:55 p.m. ET

Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox will look to get to Jack Flaherty when he starts for the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. The Orioles are listed as +123 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Red Sox (-145). Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's over/under is listed at 10 runs.

The Red Sox will give the ball to Chris Sale (6-3) versus the Orioles and Flaherty (8-8).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -145 +123 10 -104 -116 -1.5 +132 -157

Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 6, Red Sox 5
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 50%, Orioles 50%

Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have won 35, or 53%, of the 66 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season Boston has won 13 of its 28 games, or 46.4%, when favored by at least -145 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 59.2% chance to win.
  • The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 69 games this year and have walked away with the win 39 times (56.5%) in those games.
  • Baltimore has a mark of 12-8 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +123 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox played as the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
  • The Red Sox have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 10
ERA 7.08
K/9 7.9

Place your bets on Red Sox vs. Orioles now with FOX Bet!

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Devers has a team-best 29 homers.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Devers is 66th in batting average, 51st in on-base percentage, and 18th in slugging.
  • Justin Turner's 92 runs batted in are a team-high mark.
  • Turner ranks 49th in homers and ninth in RBI on the season.
  • Masataka Yoshida has a team-high batting average of .290.
  • Alex Verdugo is batting .276 with 35 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 42 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

  Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alex Verdugo 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+185)
Adam Duvall 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+130)
Justin Turner 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+140)
Rafael Devers 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+140)
Trevor Story 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Orioles have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have failed to hit the over twice.
  • The Orioles have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 7.2
HR 9
ERA 3.70
K/9 8.7

Orioles Player Insights

  • Adley Rutschman is hitting .274 with 23 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 78 walks.
  • Rutschman's home run total puts him 88th in the majors, and he ranks 62nd in RBI.
  • Anthony Santander has hit 27 home runs with 82 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
  • Santander ranks 23rd in home runs and 32nd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Gunnar Henderson is batting .254 with 25 doubles, seven triples, 23 home runs and 50 walks.
  • Austin Hays paces the Orioles with a team-high batting average of .285.

Orioles Team Props

  Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ramón Urías 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+215)
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+175)
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+200)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+150)
James McCann 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+220)
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