National Football League

2024 Super Bowl LVIII odds: Examining the history of Super Bowl prop bets

Published Feb. 2, 2024 3:52 p.m. ET

share

facebookxredditlink

Sam Panayotovich

FOX Sports Betting Analyst

Betting on the Super Bowl is one of America’s favorite pastimes.

Industry experts are forecasting that Super Bowl LVIII between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers will be the most wagered upon big game of all-time. The American Gaming Association (AGA) reported a record 50 million Americans wagered on last year’s game for a combined $16 billion in the legal and illegal markets.

And Taylor Swift wasn't even in the picture last year! 

When you add in the musical superstar's presence, not to mention her hardcore fans that will undoubtedly watch next Sunday's game, it’s extremely difficult to envision viewership or betting interest taking a downward dip. 

The betting appetite will not be curbed. 

I’ve used the candy store analogy for years to describe sports betting. The more candy in the store, the more likely it is you’ll leave with candy. If a store only sold Kit Kats and Sour Patch Kids, odds are good many customers would leave in search of bigger menus and more options.

That’s why most American sportsbooks have beefed up their Super Bowl wagering options, giving players the ability to bet more and more. Most shops are currently offering hundreds of propositional wagers, or props. These are specialized wagers that aren’t directly tied to the final score. 

How many total yards will Niners running back Christian McCaffrey have? Will Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce score a touchdown? Will there be a 60-yard field goal? Will the jersey number of the first touchdown scorer be odd or even?

The more props in the aisle, the better the business.

What is the greatest Super Bowl of all time?

One of the most famous propositional wagers in Super Bowl history involved Chicago Bears defensive tackle William "Refrigerator" Perry. Caesars Place created a prop on "The Fridge" scoring a touchdown against the New England Patriots for Super Bowl XX back in 1986. 

"We put it up at 20-1 that he would score," legendary Las Vegas bookmaker Art Manteris told FOX Sports. "[Bears head coach] Mike Ditka literally said ‘Fridge’ would never carry the ball again. Those were his exact words. We still wrote the "Yes" all the way down to 2-1. Bettors from all over the country came into our shop to bet on him to score a touchdown.

"The Bears were up 37-3 late and Ditka brought in ‘Fridge’ at the goal line. I couldn’t believe it. They jammed the ball into his belly and he scored easily. We got killed on that one. I was pissed."

Caesars lost over $100,000 on Perry’s touchdown.

While Manteris is credited in Las Vegas circles for jump-starting the Super Bowl proposition game, Jay Kornegay revolutionized it. Kornegay, Kirk Brooks, Vic Correll, Ed Salmons and Jeff Sherman famously took props to a whole new level at the Imperial Palace in the 1990s.

Thursday night, Kornegay’s team at the Westgate SuperBook released 500+ prop bets with over 1,000 ways to win on the Chiefs-Niners big game.

"We started upgrading the proposition menu in the early 90s back at the IP when the games were all getting out of hand," said Kornegay, currently the SuperBook’s vice president of race and sports.

Christian McCaffrey, Travis Kelce, Chris Jones highlight top SB players outside of Mahomes

"Almost every Super Bowl was a blowout, so we decided to come up with some propositions that wouldn’t be decided until the second half. It was a challenge to entertain fans, not to make money. We put up about 50 props, and it was a huge hit. From that point, we raised the stakes and added to the menu each and every year.

"It caught on like crazy," Kornegay continued. "We couldn’t handle all the business. I think we were violating fire codes back in those days with our staff and all the foot traffic. We knew we were onto something.

"From that point, we kept on adding. We tried to get more and more creative. Not only did it catch the fans’ attention, but it also caught the attention of the media. They were always asking us about the craziest props we were dealing.

"Kirk Brooks decided that we should do crossover props with other sports that were taking place on Super Bowl weekend. The Chicago Bulls were playing on Saturday [in 1990], so we put up a proposition: who would score more points, Michael Jordan or the Niners? Everybody bet that one."

Jordan scored 39, but San Francisco beat Denver 55-10.

"Five years later, we reached 180 props for Super Bowl XXIX between San Francisco and San Diego," Kornegay remembered. "The Niners were a 19.5-point favorite, so it wasn’t expected to be a great game. Everybody knew who was going to win, so we tripled the menu, and it has only grown from there.

"The props make up 70% of our Super Bowl handle these days."

Does Brock Purdy STILL need to prove his critics wrong in the Super Bowl?

As you can imagine, there have been some big wins and big losses over the years. I lived in Vegas for Super Bowl LIII. That’s when the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Rams played to a 13-3 final. One bettor at the SuperBook bet $1,000 on the Rams scoring exactly three points at 100-1.

It was a $100,000 loss for the house on one dime bet. Sure, the occasional mistake or two were made along the way, but all's well that ends well behind the counter. 

"We’ve made a lot of bad props," Kornegay cracked. "The one that stands out involves Kordell Stewart. In his rookie season, the Steelers met the Cowboys in Super Bowl XXX. Stewart was a hot commodity, and he was doing everything that year. He didn’t start at quarterback, but Bill Cowher would bring him for certain situations to give the offense a different look.

"We put up will Kordell Stewart have a passing attempt, rushing attempt and reception? We opened "No" -250, and I believe it closed "Yes" -550. Everybody bet on him to accomplish all three things. It was a terrible line on our part."

Kornegay knew he would sweat bullets all day.

"Right off the bat, Stewart caught a pass. We were thinking that was the most difficult one! Then he had a rushing attempt in the middle of the game. All he had to do was throw the ball and everybody would cash out.

"He lined up to take a snap in the shotgun and the entire sportsbook exploded in cheers. It felt like every single person in the room had the "Yes" on the prop. Sure enough, he took the snap, rolled right and everybody in the room was yelling, ‘throw it, throw it!’

"He cocked his arm, couldn’t find anybody, tucked the ball into his chest and ran. Everybody groaned all at once. And he never had an opportunity to throw another pass in the game. There were a lot of laughs on that prop.

"We ended up on the winning side of that horrible line."

Sam Panayotovich is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and NESN. He previously worked for WGN Radio, NBC Sports and VSiN. He'll probably pick against your favorite team. Follow him on Twitter @spshoot.

share

Get more from National Football League Follow your favorites to get information about games, news and more

in this topic

National Football League

Kansas City Chiefs

San Francisco 49ers

NFL - San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 02/11/2024

Sam Panayotovich