National Football League

Talk the Line: Early Super Bowl LIX picks to make now

Updated Feb. 14, 2024 2:52 p.m. ET

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Geoff Schwartz

FOX Sports Betting Analyst

Sam Panayotovich

FOX Sports Betting Analyst

Jason McIntyre

Co-Host of THE HERD and FOX Sports Betting Analyst

Every Sunday night, oddsmakers drop the upcoming week's NFL betting lines, and if you are wondering if the opening spreads look accurate, we've got you covered.

Each week, FOX Sports Betting Analysts Geoff Schwartz, Sam Panayotovich and Jason McIntyre will break down the opening numbers in this space and point out if they think the line is too low, too high or just right.

Related: 2025 Super Bowl LIX odds: San Francisco 49ers open as favorites

But now that we are without football for seven months, our betting analysts decided to cap it all off with an early look at the 2024-25 NFL season.  

Here are their too-early picks for Super Bowl LIX:

The Kansas City Chiefs will be the first wager I make every offseason to win the Super Bowl as long as Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are paired together. 

Last season was supposed to be an offensive rebuild, but they went out and won the Super Bowl. This season, the Chiefs had their worst offense in the Mahomes era, but it didn't matter as they won the Super Bowl again. 

The scary thing is that with a few additions, the offense will be better next season and, while they will have to choose between paying Chris Jones or L'Jarius Sneed, they will return most of this top ranked defensive unit from 2023. 

PICK: Kansas City Chiefs (+650) to win Super Bowl LIX 

Patrick Mahomes looks to match Tom Brady's Super Bowl wins

Let's avoid the AFC gauntlet with Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson and look to the NFC. 

Green Bay's offense was extremely explosive from Thanksgiving Day through the playoffs as Jordan Love emerged as one of the league's most efficient quarterbacks. Assuming the Packers take another step forward, they can easily win the NFC North and host a playoff game. 

If the Cheese exceed expectations, that 20-1 ticket will open up some decent possibilities for you down the stretch.  

PICK: Green Bay Packers (+2000) to win Super Bowl LIX 

Why no one is fully to blame for the 49ers Super Bowl LVIII loss

It has to be a team from the NFC, because that's the inferior conference with weaker QBs. 

And I'm going back to the 49ers to win the Super Bowl. Third time's a charm, right? 

Sure, there a few free agents to figure out — Jauan Jennings, Javon Kinlaw, and Chase Young — but they still have the cheapest starting QB in the NFL, and shouldn't have an issue tightening up a few problem areas. 

The right side of the offensive line had issues. And they could use another cornerback in the draft, and a pass rusher for depth, too. Talanoa Hufanga returns from injury, and he's one of the best safeties in the NFL. 

Brock Purdy hasn't been a problem.

PICK: San Francisco 49ers (+550) to win Super Bowl LIX

Jason McIntyre is the co-host of The Herd and a FOX Sports gambling analyst, and he also writes about the NFL and NBA Draft. He joined FS1 in 2016 and has appeared on every show on the network. In 2017, McIntyre began producing gambling content on the NFL, college football and NBA for FOX Sports. He had a gambling podcast for FOX, "Coming Up Winners," in 2018 and 2019. Before arriving at FOX, he created the website The Big Lead, which he sold in 2010. You can find him on Twitter @JasonRMcIntyre.

Sam Panayotovich is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and NESN. He previously worked for WGN Radio, NBC Sports and VSiN. He'll probably pick against your favorite team. Follow him on Twitter @spshoot.

Geoff Schwartz is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports. He played eight seasons in the NFL for five different teams. He started at right tackle for the University of Oregon for three seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 selection his senior year. Follow him on Twitter @GeoffSchwartz.

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