Sweden-USWNT, Netherlands-South Africa, prediction, pick by Chris 'The Bear' Fallica
"Bear Bets" are real wagers that Chris "The Bear" Fallica is actually making.
The 2023 Women's World Cup is heating up as we are in the knockout stage — and you can watch all the action on FOX and the FOX Sports app.
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As for gambling on these matches, I'll give you my best bets daily throughout the tournament. Basically, if I see an edge, and I'm betting on it, I'll share it. I want us all to win!
I believe in transparency, so my tournament best bets record currently sits at 26-18, +$433. This is based on my wager amounts, with each being to win $100. But remember, you can always bet any amount you are comfortable with.
Let's dive into the fun with a couple of bets I'm making for Day 2 of the knockout stage, including my pick for the USA's showdown with Sweden.
Netherlands vs. South Africa, 10 p.m. ET Saturday, FOX and the FOX Sports app
Netherlands Over 2.5 goals (-140)
South Africa totally deserves to be here, as it scored in all three group-stage matches and easily could have won each of them. However, its defense also has been problematic. It allowed two goals in all three games and now faces a Dutch side which finally got the offense going versus a bad Vietnam side.
While the attack versus the U.S. and Portugal wasn’t great, I’m assuming the baseline for the Netherlands here is two goals. And being in a knockout game, there will be opportunities, as South Africa will have to press forward a little earlier, which should provide more chances for the Dutch to pad their goal-scoring stats.
PICK: Netherlands Over 2.5 goals (bet $10 to win $17.14 total)
How much of a challenge will Sweden pose to USWNT?
Sweden vs. United States
Match airs on FOX and the FOX Sports app at 5 a.m. ET on Sunday, with coverage beginning at 4 a.m. ET.
Under 2.5 total goals (-165)
I've mentioned before in this space how I hate being on the obvious side. I broke my rule when I backed the U.S. to win versus Portugal and picked Norway to beat Switzerland. The results were predictable.
Now, the U.S. — who everyone is bad-mouthing — is favored. And that's despite the fact the team looked poor on the attack in the group stage and was dominated 3-0 by Sweden at the Olympics. And don't forget, the team will be without a key cog in Rose Lavelle.
I can’t wait to see the betting splits here. I predict it will be one-way action on Sweden. And ultimately, maybe it will play out that way. Logically, based on what we’ve seen so far, it should.
I’m holding a "Sweden to win the trophy" ticket, so that's a good enough reason for me not to double down. I feel far more confident that the United States — which has allowed just one shot on goal in three games — will absorb pressure, allow Sweden to have most of the ball and look for one chance.
It all adds up to a low-scoring game, and while Under 2.5 goals is -165, that's how I’m playing it.
PICK: Under 2.5 total goals (bet $10 to win $16.06 total)
Chris "The Bear" Fallica has covered sports for nearly three decades. While college football has been his focus, he also enjoys the NFL, Soccer, Golf, Tennis, MLB, NHL and Horse Racing, with an "occasional" wager on such events. Chris recently won the inaugural Circa Football Invitational and finished in the Top 10 of the Golden Nugget Football Contest. He’s a multiple-time qualifier for the NHC Handicapping Championship. Remember, "The less you bet, the more you lose when you win!" Follow him on Twitter @chrisfallica.
