National Football League

2024 NFL Power Rankings Week 14: Who are the real Super Bowl contenders?

Updated Dec. 3, 2024 10:13 a.m. ET

The old adage says the only thing that matters is how you're playing in December and January. Well, we've made it. Five more weeks left in the regular season, and not much time until the playoff field is set. Right now is when you want to be playing your best ball, so let's take a look at who's living up to the challenge.

Here are the latest power rankings for 2024 (with Super Bowl odds from FanDuel Sportsbook).

NFL Power Rankings

1. Detroit Lions (11-1; ↔)
Super Bowl odds: +290

The Bears’ meltdown distracted everyone from the fact that Detroit was outscored, 20-7, after halftime on Thanksgiving. No big deal, though. As dominant as the Lions have been, they were due for a dip and still managed to win.

2. Buffalo Bills (10-2; ↔)
Super Bowl odds: +500

Josh Allen is now up to 27 total touchdowns with five weeks to play, and he’s helped the Bills lock up their division faster than any team in the past 15 years. If he keeps this going for one more month, I think he'll be your NFL MVP.

3. Philadelphia Eagles (10-2; ↔)
Super Bowl odds: +500

I love watching this team play football. The Eagles are ultra-talented and plenty explosive, sure. But they’ve also got no problem stepping into the ring and trading haymakers for 10 rounds. Sticking with that analogy, Saquon Barkley is the best knockout punch in the NFL right now.

4. Kansas City Chiefs (11-1; ↔)
Super Bowl odds: +550

You must decide for yourself whether you’re willing to get duped by the Chiefs again. Your eyeballs are telling you they don’t look as good as some other teams on this list, but you should know better. It’s a long season, and Kansas City is a win away from locking up the AFC West. Doubt the defending champs at your own peril.

5. Minnesota Vikings (10-2; ⬆️ 1)
Super Bowl odds: +1700

I'm deeply impressed by the way the Vikings continually respond in crunch time. They’re riding a five-game winning streak after Sunday’s heart-stopper against Arizona, and all five of those games were in doubt in the final minutes. I have to believe that’s going to be useful experience in the playoffs.

6. Green Bay Packers (9-3; ⬆️ 1)
Super Bowl odds: +1400

Apologies to the Dolphins, but zero part of me believed these Packers could lose a cold weather game at Lambeau Field to a Florida team. Now comes a much better test of their ability: a trip to Detroit.

7. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-3; ⬆️1)
Super Bowl odds: +2400

We all know Cincinnati’s defense is atrocious, but it doesn’t change the fact that the Steelers showed us something we haven’t seen in a while. Sunday’s win was their first 500-yard game since the 2020 season, and their first 40-point game since 2018. It matters to see that, with Russell Wilson, this team can win shootouts just as well as slugfests.

8. Baltimore Ravens (8-5; ⬇️ 3)
Super Bowl odds: +1000

I hate to say this about a true legend of the game, but at what point do the Ravens become concerned about Justin Tucker? Seven of his eight missed field goals this season have come in losses, and on Sunday his three total misses cost the Ravens seven points in a game they lost by five. I’d be nervous if I were them.

9. Los Angeles Chargers (8-4; ⬆️ 1)
Super Bowl odds: +3000

The Chargers’ defense was untested a month ago. Now, they’ve gone against three of the best offenses in the NFL and come out of it 2-1, with Sunday’s win in Atlanta their most impressive effort yet. This is a real-deal unit, and it’s probably going to get Jesse Minter some head coaching looks when the season is over.

10. Seattle Seahawks (7-5; ⬆️ 1)
Super Bowl odds: +6000

Goofy game versus the Jets, but there’s something to be said for winning your clunkers. Nine times out of 10, if you bungle special teams as badly as the Seahawks did on Sunday, it’s going to cost you. Instead, Seattle finds itself in the driver's seat for the NFC West.

11. Denver Broncos (8-5; ⬆️ 2)
Super Bowl odds: +4800

The Broncos defense didn’t exactly cover itself in glory Monday night, but two pick-sixes made the difference against Cleveland. More importantly, Denver is now in prime position for a playoff spot. And the one benefit of an incredibly late Week 14 bye is they’ll be fresher than everyone else for the home stretch.

12. Washington Commanders (8-5; ↔)
Super Bowl odds: +7000

It does not matter who you beat when you snap a three-game losing streak. The Commanders’ offense looked as good against Tennessee as it has in six weeks, and now they’ve finally reached their bye week. It’s the type of win that gives you confidence these guys can land the plane and reach the postseason.

13. Arizona Cardinals (6-6; ↔)
Super Bowl odds: +11000

I don’t judge the Cardinals too harshly for losing at the buzzer to one of the league’s best teams, but it does put them in a tough spot. They lost to Seattle last week, and now they face the Seahawks again in Week 14. Feels like a game they have to win to keep their hopes of an NFC West title alive.

14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6; ⬆️ 2)
Super Bowl odds: +6000

So many headlines were flashing through my head as the Panthers drove for the win in overtime. Had they lost, this felt like a game that could have ruined the Bucs’ playoff odds and eventually cost Todd Bowles his job. Then, Chuba Hubbard fumbled and everything changed. Atlanta does have the all-important tiebreaker over them, but the NFC South is firmly in play for Tampa Bay.

15. Houston Texans (8-5; ⬆️ 2)
Super Bowl odds: +3400

This felt like a week where style points were irrelevant — which is a good thing for the Texans, because there were none to be found in Jacksonville. Even still, a road win in the division kept their season from spiraling, and it gives them a 96% probability of winning the AFC South.

16. Miami Dolphins (5-7; ⬇️ 1)
Super Bowl odds: +15000

I know that narratives can often be lazy or uninspired, but watching the Dolphins’ entire demeanor last week in Green Bay did not give you confidence that they’ll ever win a big game in the elements. Mathematically, they still have room to save their season, but it’s hard to trust them to do what would be necessary to pull that off.

17. Los Angeles Rams (6-6; ⬆️ 4)
Super Bowl odds: +9000

As if Jared Verse wasn’t having a strong enough rookie season, you can now directly credit him for saving a win for the Rams. The offense will generate the headlines as long as Matthew Stafford is under center, but L.A.’s defense is quietly becoming an exciting unit.

18. Cincinnati Bengals (4-8; ↔)
Super Bowl odds: +28000

Only five other quarterbacks in NFL history have put up the numbers that Joe Burrow has to this point in a season. All five of the other guys had winning records, and four of them went on to win NFL MVP. Just a brutal waste of an all-time season by the Bengals’ organization.

19. Atlanta Falcons (6-6; ⬇️ 5)
Super Bowl odds: +9000

It’s been two or three years since Kirk Cousins put up a stinker of that magnitude — which is ironic, because Atlanta's defense played some of its best ball of the season against the Chargers. All of the Falcons' goals are still out in front of them, but it’s tough to have confidence in this group with how they’ve been playing for the past month.

20. Indianapolis Colts (6-7; ⬆️ 2)
Super Bowl odds: +28000

Mathematically, I know the Colts have a good shot at the postseason, but I don’t really care much about that. What I do care about is Anthony Richardson getting reps, responding to adversity and leading his team to last-second wins. It’s not always pretty, but it's the type of stuff a 22-year-old quarterback needs to go through.

21. San Francisco 49ers (5-7; ⬇️ 2)
Super Bowl odds: +13000

Three-straight losses, two games back of the division lead and now Christian McCaffrey is done for the regular season. This has been a year from hell dating all the way back to the summer, and it’s not letting up.

22. Carolina Panthers (3-9; ⬆️ 1)
Super Bowl odds: +100000

Carolina had an overtime win in their grasp and let it slip away, which stings right now. But in the big picture, how can you not be thrilled? Bryce Young looks like a guy who deserved to be drafted No. 1 overall, and the Panthers are going to land in a draft slot that will help them improve this roster quickly. Are the vibes finally starting to turn for Carolina?

23. Chicago Bears (4-8; ⬇️ 3)
Super Bowl odds: +100000

The Bears’ brutal loss in Detroit ended at 3:58 p.m. Eastern Time, which means the Bears were back in Chicago by 8 p.m. CT, at the absolute latest. That would’ve given Bears decision-makers an eternity to meet and decide on Matt Eberflus’ fate, rather than waiting to fire him until after he had spoken to reporters on Friday morning. It might seem like a small thing, but it’s the type of organizational ineptitude that helps explain why so many other things about the Bears look inept.

24. Cleveland Browns (3-9; ⬆️ 2)
Super Bowl odds: +100000

Jameis giveth and he taketh away. It’s incredible how much more explosive this offense is when someone other than Deshaun Watson is playing quarterback, but obviously, Winston flew a bit too close to the sun Monday night. It’ll be interesting to see what the long-term future holds for Winston in Cleveland when this lost season is over.

25. Dallas Cowboys (5-7; ⬆️ 2)
Super Bowl odds: +100000

Credit to the Cowboys’ roster for showing some fight. There’s no way you’d have guessed a month ago that this team would be capable of winning consecutive games without Dak Prescott. Does that mean anything for the big picture? No. But for the guys trying to earn job security in 2025, every little bit of good tape helps.

26. New Orleans Saints (4-8; ⬇️ 2)
Super Bowl odds: +100000

The Saints’ hopes of making the playoffs are over, and now Taysom Hill is out for the year. They’ve been a much more enjoyable watch since Darren Rizzi took over, but the final month of the season isn’t looking like it’ll be fun for New Orleans.

27. Las Vegas Raiders (2-10; ⬆️ 5)
*eliminated from playoff contention

Last week, I wrote the Raiders off as hopeless without Gardner Minshew. So, naturally, Aidan O’Connell took the Chiefs to the brink in his first game back in the starting lineup. At the end of the day, the Raiders are a safe bet to lose, but who can say for sure how they’re going to get there?

28. Tennessee Titans (3-9; ⬇️ 3)
Super Bowl odds: +100000

I can’t wait to see what price Nick Westbrook-Ikhine commands on the open market this spring. His eight touchdown receptions ties him for third-most in the entire league, but his 20 catches don’t even rank in the top 100. What’s that big-play ability worth?

29. New England Patriots (3-10; ⬇️ 1)
*eliminated from playoff contention

The Pats drove into Indy’s red zone six times this past Sunday and came away with a measly 21 points. Two touchdowns and two field goals to show for six different trips inside the opponent’s 20-yard line. A comedy of errors that makes it easy to understand why the Colts snuck out of Foxborough with a win.

30. New York Jets (3-9; ⬇️ 1)
Super Bowl odds: +100000

Hidden yardage did a ton of heavy lifting for the Jets against Seattle. New York had a kickoff return for a touchdown, and one of its two touchdown drives covered only 27 yards after a Seahawks fumble. If not for that, an ugly offensive performance would look even uglier.

31. New York Giants (2-10; ⬇️ 2)
*eliminated from playoff contention

I thought Drew Lock would give the Giants more big-play potential in the passing game, and in reality Thanksgiving was their second-worst passing output of the season. Bring on the top-three pick, there’s nothing else to say.

32. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10; ⬇️ 1)
*eliminated from playoff contention

Hopefully, Trevor Lawrence is alright and recovers quickly from a completely needless shot by Azeez Al-Shaair. I’d never dream of questioning Lawrence’s competitive nature or his desire to be on the field. I’m sure he wants to return soon. But if I was a Jaguars decision-maker, I’d have a long think about whether it’s worth the risk to expose Lawrence to further injury in these last few games.

David Helman covers the NFL for FOX Sports and hosts the NFL on FOX podcast. He previously spent nine seasons covering the Cowboys for the team's official website. In 2018, he won a regional Emmy for his role in producing "Dak Prescott: A Family Reunion" about the quarterback's time at Mississippi State. Follow him on Twitter at @davidhelman_.

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