Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Updated Jul. 26, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Boston Red Sox and Triston Casas hit the field in the final game of a two-game series against Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves, on Wednesday at Fenway Park. The Braves are the favorite in this one, at -169, while the underdog Red Sox have +144 odds to play spoiler. Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 10 runs for the matchup.

The Braves will give the ball to Spencer Strider (11-3) against the Red Sox and Brayan Bello (7-6).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 26, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-169	+144	10	-111	-109	-1.5	-108	-112

Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Braves 4
Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 50%, Red Sox 50%

Braves vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

The Braves have been favorites in 87 games this season and won 56 (64.4%) of those contests.
Atlanta has entered 42 games this season favored by -169 or more and is 29-13 in those contests.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 62.8% chance to win.
The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 54 games this year and have walked away with the win 28 times (51.9%) in those games.
Boston has a win-loss record of 4-3 when favored by +144 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves went 4-6 across the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
The Braves are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	18
ERA	5.42
K/9	9.1

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Braves Player Insights

Acuna leads the Braves with a team-best batting average of .328.
Among all hitters in MLB, Acuna is 12th in home runs and 33rd in RBI.
Matt Olson has shown his power as he paces his team with 32 home runs and 80 runs batted in.
Olson ranks second in homers and first in RBI in the major leagues.
Ozzie Albies has 17 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .254.
Austin Riley is batting .272 with 18 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 34 walks.

Braves Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Orlando Arcia	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+195)
Sean Murphy	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+145)
Austin Riley	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+115)
Michael Harris II	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+175)
Travis d'Arnaud	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+165)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Red Sox have been underdogs twice and won both contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Red Sox and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Red Sox have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6
HR	18
ERA	4.03
K/9	10.8

Red Sox Player Insights

Justin Turner is hitting .286 with 23 doubles, 16 home runs and 38 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .358.
Turner's home run total places him 48th in the majors, and he is 16th in RBI.
Turner has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with a double, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
Rafael Devers has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 24 home runs and 75 RBI.
Devers is ninth among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and sixth in RBI.
Masataka Yoshida has a team-best batting average of .320.
Alex Verdugo is batting .274 with 27 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 35 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Alex Verdugo	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+225)
Rafael Devers	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+140)
Jarren Duran	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+240)
Justin Turner	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+200)
Adam Duvall	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+205)

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