Twins vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Updated Jul. 28, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Minnesota Twins will look to Alex Kirilloff for continued offensive production when they hit the field against Salvador Perez and the Kansas City Royals on Friday. The Royals are +152 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Twins (-177). Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 10 runs for the game (with -107 odds on the over and -113 odds to go under).

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Minnesota Twins looking to Sonny Gray (4-4), and Brady Singer (6-8) answering the bell for the Kansas City Royals.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 28, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-177	+152	10	-107	-113	-1.5	-112	-108

Twins vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 6, Royals 5
Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, Royals 47%

Twins vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Twins have won 41, or 61.2%, of the 67 games they've played as favorites this season.
Minnesota has entered 17 games this season favored by -177 or more and is 11-6 in those contests.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.9% chance of a victory for the Twins.
The Royals have been underdogs in 90 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (28.9%) in those contests.
This season, Kansas City has come away with a win 11 times in 46 chances when named as an underdog of at least +152 or worse on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 39.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins have a 4-2 record over the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
The Twins' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.7
HR	19
ERA	4.50
K/9	10.3

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Twins Player Insights

Carlos Correa leads the Twins with 45 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .228.
In all of the majors, Correa ranks 100th in homers and 89th in RBI.
Byron Buxton has hit 17 home runs to pace his team.
Buxton ranks 34th in home runs in MLB, and 115th in RBI.
Max Kepler is hitting .229 with nine doubles, 14 home runs and 21 walks.
Willi Castro has 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 19 walks while batting .244.
Castro has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with two doubles, a triple, two walks and two RBI.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Carlos Correa	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+180)
Byron Buxton	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+145)
Max Kepler	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+115)
Christian Vázquez	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+200)
Kyle Farmer	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
The Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Royals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	10
ERA	5.29
K/9	6.2

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 51 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .250.
Witt Jr. ranks 49th in homers and 63rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Perez has launched a team-high 17 home runs.
Perez is 34th in home runs and 100th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Edward Olivares is hitting .247 with 14 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 14 walks.
Maikel Garcia is batting .273 with 14 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 20 walks.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
MJ Melendez	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+130)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+215)
Bobby Witt Jr.	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+145)
Salvador Pérez	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+120)
Edward Olivares	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+190)

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