Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 21

Updated Apr. 21, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET

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Luis Arraez will lead the Miami Marlins into a matchup with Michael Busch and the Chicago Cubs on Sunday at 2:20 PM ET, in the final game of a four-game series at Wrigley Field. The favored Cubs have -123 moneyline odds against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +104. Chicago is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +160 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Cubs Game 1 Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Miami Marlins' 3-2 win over the Chicago Cubs.

Cubs vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 2:20 PM ET
• Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Cubs 8, Marlins 7
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Cubs 56%, Marlins 44%

Cubs vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Cubs have entered the game as favorites seven times this season and won six of those games.
• Chicago is 6-1 this season when entering a game favored by -123 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
• The Marlins have won in five, or 33.3%, of the 15 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win five times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 49% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

MIA 6 · CHC 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

-200

o8.5

Chicago Cubs

CHC

-1.5

+160

u8.5

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs went 3-1 over the four games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Cubs and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
• The Cubs have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Busch leads the Cubs with six home runs and 15 runs batted in, while putting up a team-best batting average of .328.
• Including all MLB batters, Busch is 18th in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage, and third in slugging.
• Busch carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
• Cody Bellinger has a double, a triple, four home runs and nine walks while batting .218.
• Bellinger is 31st in homers in MLB, and 28th in RBI.
• Bellinger carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .205 with a triple, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• Ian Happ is hitting .227 with four doubles, a triple, a home run and 13 walks.
• Christopher Morel is hitting .205 with a double, a triple, three home runs and eight walks.

Cubs Team Props

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 4-6 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Arraez is hitting .270 with four doubles, a triple and seven walks, while getting on base at a rate of .337.
• Arraez's home run total puts him 264th in MLB, and he is 276th in RBI.
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit five home runs while batting .275. Both high-water marks on his team.
• Among all major league hitters, De La Cruz is 15th in home runs and 28th in RBI.
• Josh Bell is hitting .198 with three doubles, three home runs and 11 walks.
• Jazz Chisholm has four doubles, two home runs and 10 walks while hitting .218.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Cubs Game 1 Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Miami Marlins' 3-2 win over the Chicago Cubs.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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