Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 5

Updated May. 5, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET

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Connor Wong and the Boston Red Sox take the field on Sunday at Target Field against Joe Ryan, who will start for the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is set for 2:10 PM ET. The Twins are the favorite in this one, at -189, while the underdog Red Sox have +156 odds to upset. Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's total has been set at 7.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights from the matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Minnesota Twins.

Twins vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 2:10 PM ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 4, Red Sox 3
• Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, Red Sox 47%

Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Twins have entered the game as favorites 19 times this season and won 14, or 73.7%, of those games.
• Minnesota is undefeated in five games this season when favored by -189 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.4% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• The Red Sox have come away with nine wins in the 19 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Oddsmakers have given Boston the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +156 moneyline listed for this contest.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

BOS 9 · MIN 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

+157

o7.5

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-189

u7.5

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins won each of the seven games it played as a moneyline favorite over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Twins have put together an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Ryan Jeffers comes into Sunday's game hitting .296 with 21 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Twins. He has also launched five homers in 2024.
• Jeffers ranks 44th in home runs and 23rd in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Jeffers takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .250 with four doubles, two walks and four RBI.
• Edouard Julien has hit seven home runs to lead his team.
• Julien is 16th in homers and 95th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Willi Castro is hitting .287 with nine doubles, two triples, two home runs and eight walks.
• Castro is on a 10-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .465 with six doubles, two triples, a home run and eight RBI.
• Alex Kirilloff is hitting .244 with six doubles, three triples, two home runs and eight walks.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 3-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Red Sox and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is batting .257 with six doubles, four triples, a home run and 15 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .335.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Duran is 233rd in home runs and 82nd in RBI.
• Tyler O'Neill has hit nine home runs while hitting .292. Both high-water marks on his team.
• O'Neill is third among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 107th in RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu is hitting .307 with eight doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 walks.
• Rafael Devers has seven doubles, three home runs and 16 walks while batting .286.

Red Sox Team Props

Red Sox vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights from the matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Minnesota Twins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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