Celtics vs. Heat Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 27

Updated Apr. 27, 2024 3:22 p.m. ET

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The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat are playing in the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 3 coming up. Boston is a strong 10-point favorite against Miami when the Celtics square off against the Heat on Saturday. A 205-point over/under has been set for the game.

Here's everything you need to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: TNT, NBCS-BOS, and BSSUN

Celtics vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 10)
O/U Pick: Over (205)
Score Prediction: Celtics 116 - Heat 108

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights

• The Celtics and their opponent have combined to score over 205 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 76 of 82 games this season.
• The Heat have played in 65 games this season (79.3% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 205 points.
• The two teams average a combined 25.7 more points per game, 230.7, than this matchup's total of 205 points.
• The Celtics and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 12.6 more points per game than the point total of 205 set in this game.
• Boston has been victorious in 62, or 79.5%, of the 78 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Miami has won in 11, or 31.4%, of the 35 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Boston has won four of its last five head-to-head meetings with Miami.
• The Heat have an advantage against the spread (3-2) when taking on the Celtics.

FINAL

BOS 104 · MIA 84

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Boston Celtics

BOS

-9.5

-455

o205.5

Miami Heat

MIA

+9.5

+339

u205.5

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Boston's average total over the last 10 games is 15.1 points more than the 205 total listed for this matchup.
• The Celtics are 42-36-4 against the spread this season.
• Boston has an against the spread record of 17-13-1 in its 31 games when favored by 10 points or more so far this season.
• The Celtics have eclipsed the over/under in 52.4% of their opportunities this year (43 times in 82 games with a set point total).
• The Celtics score 12.2 more points per game (120.6) than the Heat allow (108.4).
• Boston has a 40-25-3 record against the spread and a 58-10 record overall when scoring more than 108.4 points.
• The Celtics make 48.7% of their shots from the field this season, which is two percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed to their opponents (46.7%).
• The Celtics have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 23 times in 41 opportunities at home, and they've covered 19 times in 41 opportunities in away games.
• Boston has gone over the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (53.7%) than road games (51.2%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Celtics have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.902) compared to away games (.676).

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jayson Tatum puts up 26.9 points, 8.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game, shooting 47.1% from the field and 37.6% from downtown with 3.1 made 3-pointers per game (seventh in NBA).
• Jaylen Brown puts up 23 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game, shooting 49.9% from the field and 35.4% from downtown with 2.1 made treys per contest.
• Derrick White averages 15.2 points, 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists per contest, shooting 46.1% from the floor and 39.6% from beyond the arc with 2.7 made 3-pointers per game.
• Kristaps Porzingis posts 20.1 points, 7.2 boards and 2 assists per contest, shooting 51.6% from the floor and 37.5% from beyond the arc with 1.9 made treys per contest.
• Jrue Holiday averages 12.5 points, 4.8 assists and 5.4 boards.

Celtics Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have gone 6-4 over their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
• Miami and its opponents have combined to score an average of 214.9 combined points in its last 10 games, 9.9 more than the 205 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Heat are 41-39-2 this season.
• Heat games this season have gone over the point total 35 times in 82 opportunities (42.7%).
• The Heat's 110.1 points per game are just 0.9 more points than the 109.2 the Celtics allow.
• Miami has put together a 28-12-1 ATS record and a 33-8 overall record in games it scores more than 109.2 points.
• The Heat's 46.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.2 percentage points higher than the Celtics have allowed to their opponents (45.3%).
• The Heat's winning percentage against the spread at home is .390 (16-25-0). Away, it is .610 (25-14-2).
• In 2023-24, a higher percentage of Miami's games have finished above the over/under at home (51.2%, 21 of 41) compared to away (34.1%, 14 of 41).
• The Heat's winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .710 (22-9), and on the road it is .812 (13-3).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo is putting up 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists per contest. He's also sinking 52.1% of his shots from the floor.
• Jaime Jaquez is putting up 11.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. He's making 48.9% of his shots from the floor.
• Duncan Robinson is averaging 12.9 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. He is sinking 45% of his shots from the field and 39.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 triples per contest.
• Tyler Herro is averaging 20.8 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.5 assists per contest. He is draining 44.1% of his shots from the floor and 39.6% from 3-point range, with 3.1 triples per contest.
• The Heat are getting 10 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from Caleb Martin this season.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat - 04/27/2024